Water Luxem MordredTier 2
at 塔普卡 RDO賽季店冠賽
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.5%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1023
· median 1023
· range 1023–1023
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1228
Q3 1401
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 67.7% | +28.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Mordred decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
